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Chapter 11: Problem 14
A nutritionist claims that the proportion of females who consume too muchsaturated fat is lower than the proportion of males who consume too muchsaturated fat. In interviews with 513 randomly selected females, shedetermines that 300 consume too much saturated fat. In interviews with 564randomly selected males, she determines that 391 consume too much saturatedfat, based on data obtained from the USDA's Diet and Health Knowledge Survey. (a) Determine whether a lower proportion of females than males consume toomuch saturated fat at the \(\alpha=0.05\) level of significance. (b) Construct a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between the twopopulation proportions, \(p_{f}-p_{m}\)
Short Answer
Expert verified
Reject the null hypothesis; the evidence supports that fewer females consume too much saturated fat than males ( Z = -3.81 ). The 95% CI for the difference is [-0.1644, -0.0526].
Step by step solution
01
- Define the hypotheses
Set up the null and alternative hypotheses. Null hypothesis (H_0): The proportion of females who consume too much saturated fat is greater than or equal to the proportion of males who consume too much saturated fat. Alternative hypothesis (H_a): The proportion of females who consume too much saturated fat is less than the proportion of males who consume too much saturated fat.
02
- Calculate sample proportions
Compute the sample proportions for both females and males. For females: \[ p_f = \frac{300}{513} \approx 0.5851 \] For males: \[ p_m = \frac{391}{564} \approx 0.6936 \]
03
- Compute the pooled proportion
Use the overall sample sizes and the combined number of successes. \[ p = \frac{300 + 391}{513 + 564} = \frac{691}{1077} \approx 0.6417 \]
04
- Calculate the standard error
Compute the standard error for the difference in proportions. \[ SE = \sqrt{ p (1-p) \left( \frac{1}{n_f} + \frac{1}{n_m} \right) } = \sqrt{ 0.6417 (1 - 0.6417) \left( \frac{1}{513} + \frac{1}{564} \right) } \approx 0.0285 \]
05
- Calculate the test statistic
Compute the Z-score using the following formula: \[ Z = \frac{p_f - p_m}{SE} = \frac{0.5851 - 0.6936}{0.0285} \approx -3.81 \]
06
- Determine the rejection region
For a significance level of \( \alpha = 0.05 \), find the critical value for a one-tailed test. The critical value is \( -1.645 \).
07
- Make a decision
Compare the test statistic to the critical value. Since \( -3.81 < -1.645 \), reject the null hypothesis.
08
- Result for hypothesis test
There is enough evidence to support the claim that a lower proportion of females consume too much saturated fat compared to males at the \( \alpha = 0.05 \) level of significance.
09
- Compute the confidence interval
Calculate the difference in sample proportions and its margin of error for a 95% confidence interval. Difference in sample proportions: \[ p_f - p_m = 0.5851 - 0.6936 = -0.1085 \] Margin of error: \[ E = Z_{0.025} * SE = 1.96 * 0.0285 \approx 0.0559 \] Confidence interval: \[ (-0.1085 - 0.0559, -0.1085 + 0.0559) = (-0.1644, -0.0526) \]
10
- Interpret the confidence interval
Since the confidence interval does not include 0 and is entirely negative, it supports the claim that the proportion of females who consume too much saturated fat is less than that of males.
Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
proportion comparison
Comparing proportions is a key aspect of hypothesis testing. In this exercise, we compared the proportions of females and males who consume too much saturated fat.
Proportion is essentially a fraction or percentage representing part of a whole.
For females, the sample proportion is: \[ p_f = \frac{300}{513} \approx 0.5851 \] (where 300 represents females who consume too much saturated fat out of 513 surveyed).
For males, the sample proportion is: \[ p_m = \frac{391}{564} \approx 0.6936 \] (where 391 males consume too much saturated fat out of 564 surveyed).
The calculation of these proportions is fundamental to determine if there's a significant difference between the two sexes when it comes to saturated fat consumption.
confidence interval
A confidence interval gives us an estimated range of values which is likely to include the difference between population proportions.
In our example, we need a 95% confidence interval for the difference between two proportions.
The difference in sample proportions is: \[ p_f - p_m = 0.5851 - 0.6936 = -0.1085 \]
The margin of error is calculated as: \[ E = Z_{0.025} * SE = 1.96 * 0.0285 \approx 0.0559 \]
Thus, the 95% confidence interval for the difference is: \[ (-0.1085 - 0.0559, -0.1085 + 0.0559) = (-0.1644, -0.0526) \]
Since the interval is entirely negative, it indicates that the true proportion of females who consume too much saturated fat is less than that of males.
significance level
The significance level, denoted by \( \alpha \), is a threshold we set to determine if an observed effect is statistically significant.
In this exercise, the significance level is set at 0.05, which means there is a 5% risk of concluding that a difference exists when there is no actual difference.
The critical value for a one-tailed test with \( \alpha = 0.05 \) is -1.645.
The test statistic computed is: \[ Z = \frac{p_f - p_m}{SE} = \frac{0.5851 - 0.6936}{0.0285} \approx -3.81 \]
Since \( -3.81 < -1.645 \), we reject the null hypothesis.
This means we have enough evidence to support the nutritionist's claim at the 0.05 significance level.
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